Analysis & Market Notes

Straight talk about what's actually moving the market — company breakdowns, where the trend is heading, quick takes when something breaks, and the chart-reading basics underneath it all. Every note sticks to real numbers and is written for a normal person, not a trading desk. When a note covers a stock or theme, open the simulator and replay that stretch to see the figures yourself. It's all educational — none of it is advice.

NVIDIA buy-or-sell title card with three stats: $5.1T market cap, +85% Q1 FY27 revenue growth, and a P/E near 32Deep Dives

NVIDIA at $5 Trillion: A Plain-English Deep Dive Into the Buy-or-Sell Debate

NVIDIA became the first $5 trillion company — yet its P/E sits below its own 10-year average. What it actually sells now, the latest numbers, the moat, and the real bull-versus-bear case.

Jun 21, 2026 · 9 min readRead post → Title card reading compute is the new oil, with GPU rent up 50% in a month and $650B+ AI capex in 2026Market Trend

Google Paid 50% More for the Same AI Chips in 30 Days — Inside the Compute Shortage

Compute has become the new oil. Why Google happily paid 50% more for GPUs in a month, the wave of mega-raises that drained market liquidity, and what it means for investors.

Jun 20, 2026 · 6 min readRead post → A chip stock rising then dropping sharply, with the three sell signals to watchBreaking

Chip Stocks Just Tanked — The Only 3 Signals That Should Make You Sell

US semis sold off hard, but a falling price isn’t a sell signal by itself. The only three signals that actually justify trimming AI/chip exposure — with a checklist.

Jun 7, 2026 · 6 min readRead post → A cap-weighted index rising while the average stock flattens and turns downBreaking

AI Boom or Dot-Com Repeat? The One Warning Sign That Flashed in 2000

The useful dot-com comparison isn’t the rally — it’s that breadth narrowed first. How to watch for the same signal in today’s AI boom: few names, few countries doing the work.

Jun 7, 2026 · 5 min readRead post → Two yield gauges showing the 10-year Treasury at 4.51% and 2-year at 4.03%, labelled correction not a crashMarket Trend

The Two Yields That Just Rattled Every Stock Portfolio

The 10-year Treasury broke 4.5% and the 2-year broke 4% on the same day. What those two alarms mean together, why it’s a correction and not a crash, and how to think about your portfolio.

May 16, 2026 · 6 min readRead post → Circle USDC reserves illustrated as a Treasury bill fundDeep Dives

Circle Isn’t a Crypto Company — It’s a Treasury Bill Fund

Circle earns almost all its revenue from Treasury interest on USDC reserves. How that business works, what the Coinbase revenue split really costs them, and the catalysts that could reshape the profit picture.

May 16, 2026 · 7 min readRead post → Illustration of a stock chart with candlesticks, trend lines, and moving averagesBasics

Reading Stock Charts: Start With These 6 Signals

Six things every investor should know how to read on a chart — candlesticks, support and resistance, trend types, moving averages, and the three patterns that most reliably signal a new uptrend.

May 16, 2026 · 8 min readRead post →

New — the AI Bubble Meter: a live breadth & concentration gauge that scores how narrow the S&P 500 rally is, built from the dot-com lesson in our breadth post.

Test what you read: open the simulator, pick the assets a post discusses, and set a matching date range to see the historical figures for yourself.

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